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Mamdani Leads as NYC Mayoral Race Tightens in Final Days

Older-skewing early turnout could blunt Mamdani’s youthful edge.

Overview

  • Mamdani remains the frontrunner in most late polls, with aggregates putting his advantage over Cuomo in double digits heading into Tuesday.
  • An AtlasIntel survey released Friday shows a narrower contest at 41% Mamdani, 34% Cuomo and 24% Sliwa, contrasting with Marist, Quinnipiac and Emerson polls that keep the gap wider.
  • Early voting has set records with roughly 480,000 ballots cast by Saturday, and voters 60 and older account for about 40% of early turnout, a pattern seen as favorable to Cuomo.
  • Michael Bloomberg formally endorsed Cuomo and funneled millions to super PACs backing him and opposing Mamdani in the campaign’s closing stretch.
  • Curtis Sliwa remains in the race, keeping the contest three-way as conservatives split between him and Cuomo and both camps warn of potential spoiler effects.