Overview

• New Quinnipiac polling shows Zohran Mamdani at 45% among likely voters, with Andrew Cuomo at 23%, Curtis Sliwa at 15% and Eric Adams at 12%, and finds Mamdani’s backers the most enthusiastic.
• Adams’ team says he will commission an independent internal poll to guide his decision on staying in the race, even as sources told CNN he recognizes a likely loss despite public vows to continue.
• Efforts by Trump allies and real estate figures to coax Adams or Sliwa from the race have faltered, with Sliwa refusing to exit and Trump acknowledging Mamdani could win unless the field narrows.
• The Board of Elections certified the ballot and plans to start printing by Tuesday, and officials say a late withdrawal would likely leave a candidate’s name on the ballot with any votes not counted.
• Hypothetical matchups remain mixed, with Siena/NYT showing a tight Mamdani–Cuomo race in a two-way and Quinnipiac indicating Mamdani still leads if Adams exits, as Jewish voters lean to Adams and AP analysis highlights Mamdani’s energized, diverse coalition.