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Mamdani Holds Over 50% Lead in General Election Polls as Policing and Israel Stances Face Fresh Scrutiny

Establishment Democrats and Republicans question whether his progressive platform can hold in a split five-candidate race under ranked-choice voting

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New York City Democrats vote in the mayoral primary on June 24, 2025. (Selcuk Acar/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Overview

  • A new poll by Zenith Research and Public Progress Solutions found Mamdani commanding 50 percent support in a five-way general election field, outpacing former governor Andrew Cuomo, Mayor Eric Adams, Curtis Sliwa, and Jim Walden combined.
  • Resurfaced posts from 2020 highlight Mamdani’s past calls to defund the police and disband the NYPD’s Strategic Response Group after a mass shooting in Midtown Manhattan that claimed four lives, including an off-duty officer.
  • A Data for Progress survey shows that 78 percent of Democratic primary voters view Israel’s actions in Gaza as genocide and that 63 percent support enforcing the ICC warrant to arrest Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
  • Gov. Kathy Hochul declined on CNN to endorse Mamdani, pointing to her record on gun safety laws and police funding instead of addressing his tweets.
  • Some establishment Democrats and Republicans warn that ranked-choice voting and multiple independent bids could splinter the electorate, while Mamdani’s backers cite his economic justice agenda and strong appeal among younger voters as factors sustaining his lead.