Overview
- Mamdani remains the frontrunner by double digits in most surveys, with recent polls from Emerson (+25), Marist (+16), Quinnipiac and Suffolk (+10) and others keeping him ahead.
- A new AtlasIntel poll (Oct. 25–30) shows a tighter contest at 41% Mamdani, 34% Cuomo and 24% Sliwa, signaling possible late movement.
- Early voting has surpassed 480,000 ballots, and voters 60+ accounted for about 40% in the first six days, a pattern Cuomo is working to harness as Mamdani ramps outreach to seniors.
- Michael Bloomberg formally endorsed Cuomo and funneled millions to pro-Cuomo and anti-Mamdani super PACs, fueling a late advertising blitz.
- Curtis Sliwa remains in the race despite pressure to step aside, intensifying concerns about a split anti-Mamdani vote as polling suggests a head-to-head would be closer.