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5h ago

Mamdani Holds Lead in New NYC Polls as Cuomo Narrows Gap in Head‑to‑Head Tests

New surveys highlight younger‑skewing support with unusually high enthusiasm for Mamdani.

Civil rights leader Rev. Al Sharpton greets New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani during the National Action Network (NAN) March on Wall Street, in New York City, U.S., August 28, 2025. REUTERS/Christian Monterrosa TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
El escenario de cuatro candidatos lo pone a Mamdani en la punta de todas las encuestas
Zohran Mamdani, New York City mayoral candidate, arrives for a news conference at Astoria Park during the New York City mayoral Democratic primary in the Queens borough of New York, US, on Tuesday, June 24, 2025. New Yorkers are heading to the polls Tuesday to choose a Democratic candidate for mayor as a sweltering heat wave engulfs the city, and with tightened security in place after the US unleashed airstrikes on Iran. Photographer: Christian Monterrosa/Bloomberg
Varias encuestas dan diferencias de más de 20 puntos a favor de Zohran Mamdani en Nueva York

Overview

  • Fresh September polling from Marist, Siena, Emerson, Quinnipiac and YouGov/CBS shows Mamdani ahead in a four‑candidate field, with recent toplines around 43–46% for Mamdani to roughly mid‑20s for Cuomo and mid‑teens for Curtis Sliwa, while Eric Adams lags in single digits to low teens.
  • In simulated one‑on‑one matchups, the race tightens markedly, including Siena’s 48%–44% and Emerson’s 47%–40% for Mamdani over Cuomo, with Marist showing 49%–39% in a direct pairing.
  • Pollsters note that if Adams were to exit, vote shifts tend to benefit Cuomo more than Mamdani, narrowing the race in three‑candidate scenarios such as Quinnipiac’s 46% Mamdani, 30% Cuomo and 17% Sliwa.
  • Age remains a defining fault line, with Emerson reporting a 29‑point Mamdani advantage among voters under 50, and Quinnipiac finding Mamdani’s backers report the highest enthusiasm levels at 91%.
  • Issue priorities diverge across coalitions, as Mamdani supporters emphasize cost of living while backers of Cuomo, Sliwa and Adams cite crime, and a Marist measure finds most voters expect Mamdani to win.