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Mamdani Holds Lead in Fragmented NYC Mayoral Race

A massive volunteer ground game, paired with a digital strategy, has propelled Mamdani to the top of multi-candidate polls despite splintered opposition

This combination of pictures created on June 24, 2025, shows New York City mayoral candidate and democratic State Representative Zohran Mamdani (L) in New York City on April 16, 2025, and New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo (R) in New York City on April 13, 2025. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS and CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS,CHARLY TRIBALLEAU/AFP via Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 24: New York mayoral candidate, Andrew Cuomo, speaks to the media as he arrives to vote in the Democratic primary at the High School of Art and Design on June 24, 2025 in New York City.

Overview

  • Zohran Mamdani leads four-way general election surveys on the strength of clear affordability proposals and a 30,000-strong volunteer network knocking on 1.6 million doors
  • Former governor Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Eric Adams both launched independent bids after his Democratic primary upset but have struggled to unite donors and endorsements
  • WICK and other recent polls show Mamdani ahead of Adams and Republican Curtis Sliwa in multi-candidate matchups, while head-to-head surveys place him in a statistical tie with Cuomo
  • New York business leaders remain divided over backing Cuomo or Adams, delaying any consolidated effort to challenge Mamdani’s front-runner status
  • Top Democrats including Hakeem Jeffries, Chuck Schumer and Kathy Hochul continue to withhold formal endorsements for Mamdani, reflecting intraparty reservations