Overview

• Siena Research Institute surveys from Aug. 4-7 put Mamdani at 37% support in the general election, compared with 23% for Andrew Cuomo and 12% for Republican Curtis Sliwa.
• On the fourth day of his Five Boroughs Against Trump tour in the Bronx, Mamdani highlighted a 6.3% population decline from 2020 to 2022 as evidence of New York’s affordability crisis tied to President Trump’s policies.
• Former Gov. Cuomo and Mayor Eric Adams, along with independent contenders Curtis Sliwa and Jim Walden, have declined to withdraw even as Walden proposed an independent September survey to determine which challenger could best defeat Mamdani.
• Embracing front-runner status has exposed Mamdani to intensified questioning over his public safety proposals after a recent mass shooting and scrutiny of his rent-stabilized apartment eligibility.
• Political strategists warn that continued fragmentation of the centrist vote could create an opening for Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa in the Nov. 4 general election.