Overview

• The Oct. 3–7 Quinnipiac survey of 1,015 likely voters shows Mamdani at 46%, Cuomo at 33%, and Sliwa at 15% (margin of error ±3.9).
• Cuomo is up 10 points from early September and, per Quinnipiac, picked up most of Eric Adams’ former supporters; Adams left the race on Sept. 28 but remains on the ballot.
• Voter impressions favor Mamdani, who is 43% favorable to 35% unfavorable, while Cuomo is 37% favorable to 52% unfavorable.
• Enthusiasm and coalitions differ: 90% of Mamdani supporters say they are enthusiastic versus 69% for Cuomo; Mamdani leads among Democrats, younger voters, and Asian Americans, while Cuomo leads among Jewish voters.
• Issue ratings are mixed, with voters preferring Mamdani on lowering housing costs and public schools and giving Cuomo an edge on growing the economy; Cuomo’s campaign calls it a two-person race as he receives $2.3 million in public matching funds.