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Mamdani Holds Commanding Lead in New York Mayor’s Race as Election Nears

Fresh polls with early‑vote data indicate a durable advantage despite billionaire-funded opposition, including attacks from Trump.

Overview

  • Emerson and Marist surveys published this week show Mamdani ahead of Andrew Cuomo by 25 and 16 points respectively, with Curtis Sliwa trailing in third.
  • Early voting has drawn 372,111 ballots through Oct. 29, and an Emerson snapshot of early voters shows 58% backing Mamdani.
  • Outside groups backed by wealthy donors have poured millions into stopping Mamdani, including Fix the City ($7.3 million) and Defend NYC (nearly $2.5 million), with contributions from figures such as Bill Ackman, Joe Gebbia and Ronald Lauder.
  • Cuomo runs as an independent targeting Republicans as Sliwa refuses to exit, and outgoing Mayor Eric Adams has endorsed Cuomo.
  • The Times of London deleted a fabricated de Blasio interview after an impersonation; de Blasio publicly affirmed his support for Mamdani, as Trump continues to label him a communist and threaten federal reprisals, prompting Mamdani to say he would fight any move that harms New Yorkers.