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Mamdani Holds Commanding Lead as New York’s Four-Way Mayoral Race Fractures Opposition

Fragmented independent bids alongside undecided PACs risk handing victory to the democratic socialist front-runner

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New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani campaigns on July 10, 2025.
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Overview

  • Zohran Mamdani tops polls ahead of the general election, fueled by grassroots organizing and small-donor support
  • Incumbent Eric Adams and former governor Andrew Cuomo are both running as independents, splitting the centrist vote against Mamdani
  • Newly formed business-backed PACs aim to unseat Mamdani but have yet to unite behind a single challenger
  • Republican National Congressional and Senatorial Committees have launched ad campaigns linking Mamdani’s socialism to vulnerable Democrats nationwide
  • Key Democrats, including House Leader Hakeem Jeffries, have withheld endorsements over Mamdani’s stance on Israel and Gaza, highlighting deep intraparty divisions