Overview

• After suspending his campaign on Sept. 28, Mayor Eric Adams triggered a scramble for his supporters, and his name is still expected to appear on the ballot.
• Polling and markets continue to favor Zohran Mamdani by double digits in the multi-candidate field, including a Suffolk survey showing 45% to Cuomo’s 25% and prediction odds near 85–90%.
• President Donald Trump warned he would withhold federal funds if Mamdani wins, and both Mamdani and Andrew Cuomo pledged to push back during a Harlem forum focused on Black women.
• Wealthy New Yorkers and real estate figures are mobilizing behind Cuomo, with Midtown donor meetings and major contributions to the Fix the City super PAC, including $750,000 from Ronald Lauder.
• Adams said he has reached out about endorsing Cuomo or Republican Curtis Sliwa, who refuses to exit, while analysts and recent polls suggest consolidation still leaves Cuomo trailing Mamdani.