Overview

• A New York Times/Siena College survey of 1,284 likely voters (Sept. 2–6, MOE ±3.6) puts Zohran Mamdani at 46% in a four-way race, ahead of Andrew Cuomo at 24%, Curtis Sliwa at 15% and Eric Adams at 9%.
• The same poll finds a hypothetical two-person race would tighten to 48%–44% for Mamdani if both Adams and Sliwa exit, a scenario both candidates publicly reject after reports of efforts to clear the field.
• An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll (Sept. 7–8) shows Mamdani at 43% and Cuomo at 28%, with Sliwa at 10% and Adams at 7%, and a head-to-head showing Mamdani leading Cuomo 47%–40%.
• Pollsters attribute Mamdani’s advantage to strong standing on cost of living and housing, with especially robust support among younger and highly educated voters.
• Surveys also highlight a vulnerability for Mamdani as many voters question his governing experience and doubt he can deliver all of his proposals even as they back ideas like a rent freeze and higher taxes on the wealthy.