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Mamdani Heads Into NYC Election Day With Clear Lead as Trump Clash Caps Frantic Finish

Trump’s threat to cut federal funds now defines the final hours of a race centered on affordability.

Overview

  • Multiple late polls show Zohran Mamdani ahead of Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa, and prediction markets give him roughly a 93–95% chance of victory, according to Polymarket and Kalshi.
  • Early voting set records across the boroughs with more than 735,000 in-person ballots and a median voter age of 50, a turnout pattern seen as favorable to Mamdani.
  • On 60 Minutes, President Donald Trump called Mamdani a communist and said it would be hard to send money to New York if he wins; Mamdani answered with a dawn march over the Brooklyn Bridge and vowed to use the courts to protect federal funds.
  • The campaign’s identity and foreign-policy tensions remain sharp, with Haaretz reporting both anxiety and begrudging support among Jewish voters over Mamdani’s pro-Palestinian positions.
  • Republican figures and groups are pushing post-election challenges, including calls to block Mamdani from office or scrutinize his naturalization, as reported by Esquire.