Overview
- Multiple late October polls from Quinnipiac, Marist, Fox News, Emerson and JL Partners show Zohran Mamdani ahead of Andrew Cuomo by roughly 10 to 25 points, with Curtis Sliwa in the low‑to‑mid teens.
- Suffolk University’s Oct. 23–26 survey puts the race at 44% Mamdani to 34% Cuomo, citing Cuomo gains among Hispanic and independent voters that narrowed the gap to 10 points.
- Third‑candidate dynamics remain pivotal, as Sliwa’s supporters lean toward Cuomo as a second choice and head‑to‑head tests show Mamdani’s lead shrinking to single digits in some scenarios.
- Early voting runs Oct. 25–Nov. 2 ahead of Election Day on Nov. 4, and Emerson reports Mamdani leading by 33 points among those who already cast ballots.
- Affordability dominates voter concerns and Mamdani’s platform, with proposals such as rent freezes, free buses, municipal groceries and expanded free childcare drawing both support and sharp criticism.