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Mamdani Enters Final Weekend With Double‑Digit Lead as Democrats Coalesce in NYC Mayor’s Race

Polls vary widely in the three‑way contest, where Curtis Sliwa’s voters could determine how much Andrew Cuomo can close the gap.

Overview

  • Fresh surveys show Zohran Mamdani ahead by 10 to 25 points: Emerson has him at 50% to Andrew Cuomo’s 25% with Curtis Sliwa at 21%, Marist shows 48%–32%–16%, and Quinnipiac finds 43%–33%–14%.
  • Top Democrats publicly rallied behind Mamdani at a Brooklyn gala, emphasizing unity around the nominee as early voting continues into the final days before Nov. 4.
  • Cuomo casts the race as a Democratic “civil war” and targets GOP voters while pro‑Cuomo groups warn Republicans that “a vote for Sliwa is a vote for Mamdani,” boosted by Michael Bloomberg’s $1.5 million to a supportive PAC.
  • Polling underscores stark splits by constituency, with a Quinnipiac subsample showing Jewish voters favoring Cuomo 60% to 16% and Emerson noting Mamdani’s strength with younger voters and gains among Black voters.
  • Islamophobia remains a flashpoint as Cuomo denies stoking it at a joint presser with Eric Adams, following weeks of condemnations over AI‑generated racist content including a Cuomo campaign video that was posted and deleted.