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Mamdani Enters Election Day With Poll Lead as NYC Mayoral Race Goes National

Record early voting heightens a turnout test shaped by national attention.

Overview

  • Multiple late polls place Zohran Mamdani ahead of Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa, with Marist, Fox News and Emerson showing double‑digit leads, while a final AtlasIntel survey points to a tighter margin as the 34-year-old would become the city’s first Muslim mayor if elected.
  • New York City recorded more than 735,000 early ballots, the highest early turnout ever for a mayoral race, focusing both campaigns on who shows up on Election Day.
  • President Donald Trump called Mamdani a “communist” on 60 Minutes, warned he might restrict federal funds to New York if Mamdani wins, and said he’d choose Cuomo over Mamdani; Mamdani mocked the remarks as a Cuomo endorsement and vowed legal action over any funding cuts.
  • Mamdani’s team confirmed that Barack Obama phoned to praise his campaign and offered to be a sounding board should he win, reflecting the race’s national reach.
  • Final-day messaging highlighted stark contrasts: Mamdani led a sunrise Brooklyn Bridge walk and City Hall rally with Attorney General Letitia James and Comptroller Brad Lander, while Cuomo toured all five boroughs arguing experience and casting Mamdani’s agenda as risky, with Sliwa trailing in third.