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14h ago

Mamdani Enters Election Day as Favorite in NYC Mayor’s Race After Trump Backs Cuomo

Betting odds and late polls point to a Mamdani lead, underscoring how national forces have reshaped a local race.

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Democratic New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks during a campaign event in New York on November 3, 2025. New Yorkers will pick a new mayor on November 4 after an unpredictable race that has drawn attention from far beyond the largest city in the United States, with President Donald Trump branding frontrunner Zohran Mamdani "a communist." Breakout Democratic Party candidate Mamdani, a naturalized Muslim American who represents Queens in the state legislature, leads former governor and sex assault-accused Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent after losing his party's primary contest to Mamdani. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)
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Overview

  • Betting market Polymarket pegs Zohran Mamdani with roughly a 94%–95% chance to win over Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa, according to Newsweek.
  • Recent Marist and Fox News polls show Mamdani up 16 points on Cuomo with Sliwa trailing, though an Atlas-Intel survey suggested a narrower single-digit margin.
  • President Donald Trump has endorsed Cuomo, repeatedly labeled Mamdani a “communist,” warned he could restrict federal funding if Mamdani wins, and pressured Sliwa to exit the race.
  • Anti-Mamdani PACs have raised more than $40 million to oppose him and aid Cuomo, and former Mayor Eric Adams ended his campaign and endorsed Cuomo.
  • Mamdani’s affordability-focused platform includes rent freezes, fare-free buses and city-run groceries, he has backing from figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders, Obama called to offer counsel, and polls close in New York City at 9 p.m. ET with results expected later tonight.