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Mamdani Edges Cuomo in Final Poll Ahead of NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary

Mamdani’s narrow edge in recent polls reflects surging youth engagement on the eve of the primary.

File photo of Zohran Mamdani
New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani attends a campaign rally, calling for the full enforcement of the city's Sanctuary City laws, on June 21, 2025, in Diversity Square in the Jackson Heights neighborhood of the borough of Queens, New York City.
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Overview

  • The Democratic primary on June 24 uses ranked-choice voting, allowing New Yorkers to rank up to five candidates until one secures a majority.
  • An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey released June 23 simulated eight RCV rounds and gave Mamdani 51.8% to Cuomo’s 48.2% in the final tally.
  • Early voting drew about 385,000 ballots—more than double 2021’s early total—and 40% of those were cast by voters under age 40.
  • Mamdani has built momentum with proposals such as rent freezes, free bus fares and endorsements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders.
  • Cuomo emphasizes his track record in government but continues to contend with sexual harassment allegations from his gubernatorial tenure.