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Mamdani Consolidates Lead in NYC Mayoral Race as Betting Odds Hit 82%

Trump’s outreach to potential allies backfired, boosting Mamdani’s standing; rivals have since attacked his rent-stabilized residency, flagged his Israel remarks.

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Overview

  • Recent Siena polling shows Mamdani commanding 44% support; betting markets put his win probability around 82 percent
  • A New York Times report revealed Trump explored backing Cuomo or Adams against Mamdani, a move analysts say galvanized progressive supporters
  • Andrew Cuomo and Eric Adams have remained on the November ballot as independents; both seized on Mamdani’s rent-controlled apartment for criticism
  • Mamdani endured xenophobic and antisemitic jeers during a Staten Island campaign stop, highlighting pockets of voter hostility
  • Queens Borough President Donovan Richards endorsed Mamdani even as many high-profile national Democrats continue to withhold formal backing