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Mamdani Climbs in Polls as Early Voting Surges Ahead of NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary

Ranked-choice simulations indicate the progressive challenger overtakes Cuomo in final polling rounds

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Democratic mayoral candidates Andrew Cuomo, left, and Mamdani, second from right, present arguments as Whitney Tilson, second from left, and Michael Blake, right, look on during a Democratic mayoral primary debate in New York on June 4.
New York City mayoral candidate and democratic State Representative Zohran Mamdani campaigns in New York City on April 16, 2025.

Overview

  • More than 305,896 ballots were cast during the first eight days of early voting, nearly doubling turnout from 2021’s primary
  • An Emerson College survey shows Cuomo leading with 36% of first-choice votes but trailing 52% to 48% after lower-ranked preferences are reallocated
  • Mamdani has secured endorsements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders while Cuomo counts Bill Clinton, Mike Bloomberg and Jim Clyburn among his backers
  • The candidates offer contrasting platforms: Cuomo emphasizes hiring 5,000 more police officers and subway safety measures, and Mamdani proposes taxing the wealthy to fund free buses, childcare and rent freezes
  • If no contender wins a majority on June 24, the city will begin ranked-choice tabulation on July 1, delaying a final result until rounds of redistributed votes are completed