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Mamdani Climbs in Polls as Early Voting Surges Ahead of NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary

Ranked-choice simulations indicate the progressive challenger overtakes Cuomo in final polling rounds

Overview

  • More than 305,896 ballots were cast during the first eight days of early voting, nearly doubling turnout from 2021’s primary
  • An Emerson College survey shows Cuomo leading with 36% of first-choice votes but trailing 52% to 48% after lower-ranked preferences are reallocated
  • Mamdani has secured endorsements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders while Cuomo counts Bill Clinton, Mike Bloomberg and Jim Clyburn among his backers
  • The candidates offer contrasting platforms: Cuomo emphasizes hiring 5,000 more police officers and subway safety measures, and Mamdani proposes taxing the wealthy to fund free buses, childcare and rent freezes
  • If no contender wins a majority on June 24, the city will begin ranked-choice tabulation on July 1, delaying a final result until rounds of redistributed votes are completed