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11h ago

Malaria Financing at Risk as New Modelling Flags Up to 1 Million Additional Deaths by 2030

Campaigners say shrinking donor pledges to the Global Fund threaten prevention coverage that has grown more expensive.

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Dual-insecticide mosquito nets are a key tool in the fight against malaria, which is most common in Africa
The life-cycle of the parasite that causes malaria.
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Overview

  • The Global Fund is seeking $18bn at a 21 November summit co-hosted by the UK and South Africa to fund malaria programmes for 2027–2029.
  • Germany has pledged $1bn, 23% less than last time, and the UK is expected to reduce its contribution, though officials say no final decision has been made.
  • ALMA and Malaria No More UK modelling projects 33 million extra cases and 82,000 deaths by 2030 with a 20% funding shortfall, and up to 525 million cases and 990,000 deaths if prevention collapses, with an $83bn GDP hit.
  • The same analysis says full replenishment could avert 865 million cases and 1.86 million deaths and deliver a $230bn GDP boost, while WHO reports about 263 million cases and roughly 600,000 deaths in 2023, mostly in Africa.
  • Ugandan MPs warn their malaria programme is about 95% donor-funded, urge major domestic increases beyond the roughly $19m government contribution, and cite 12 million cases and 2,793 deaths in 2023.