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Majority of Canadians See U.S. as Their Greatest Threat, Poll Finds

The shift reflects President Trump’s tariff threats alongside annexation remarks ahead of Canada’s July 21 deadline for a new U.S. economic and security pact.

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Elbows Up for Canada protesters gather near The Peace Bridge border crossing in Buffalo, N.Y., Wednesday, April 2, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP-Adrian Kraus

Overview

  • Fifty-nine percent of Canadians now view the U.S. as their greatest threat, up from 20 percent in 2019, according to a Pew Research Center survey.
  • Fifty-five percent still regard the U.S. as Canada’s most important ally, creating a rare ally-threat paradox.
  • Pew surveyed 28,333 adults across 24 non-U.S. countries by phone, online and in person between Jan. 8 and April 26, 2025.
  • Mexico mirrors Canada’s stance, with 68 percent of respondents naming the U.S. as their primary threat.
  • Prime Minister Mark Carney must secure a bilateral economic and security agreement by July 21 under pressure from U.S. tariff threats alongside annexation remarks.