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Macron's Ultimatum Nears as France Weighs Compromise or Snap Elections

Economic pressures heighten the stakes of a potential snap election.

Overview

  • President Emmanuel Macron set a Wednesday evening deadline for resigned premier Sébastien Lecornu to present a path out of the crisis after Lecornu quit four weeks into the job.
  • If no compromise emerges, Macron is widely expected to dissolve the National Assembly and call new elections, with local officials reportedly told to prepare for 16 and 23 November.
  • Lecornu urged party leaders to center talks on next year's budget as a possible basis for stabilizing governance.
  • France's statistics office INSEE forecasts roughly 0.8% growth this year, and Fitch recently downgraded the country's rating citing political instability.
  • OFCE estimates the turmoil could cost up to €15 billion through end‑2025, after a prior government estimate of €12 billion, with election administration alone estimated at about €200 million and French equities lagging major European peers this year.