Overview

• Manuel Valls told BFM TV that the real threat is not a government split but social, economic and violent unrest in New Caledonia if no political accord is reached.
• He reiterated that he retains the confidence of Prime Minister François Bayrou and President Emmanuel Macron even as hard-line loyalists voice dissent.
• Valls’s draft ‘sovereignty with France’ framework proposes double French-Caledonian nationality and an immediate transfer of sovereign powers to local authorities.
• Although he succeeded in convening all Caledonian political forces at the table for the first time since 2019, non-independence figures like Nicolas Metzdorf and Sonia Backès now challenge his role.
• The Élysée is finalizing preparations for a well-organized meeting in Paris with pro-independence and loyalist representatives to revive stalled status talks.