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M5.0 Solar Flare, Strongest Since September, Spurs Developing CME With Path Uncertain

Agencies flag a low likelihood of a direct hit due to the source region’s offset from Earth.

Overview

  • The Laboratory of Solar Astronomy at IKI RAN reported an M5.0 flare with peak emission at 13:11 Moscow time on November 3.
  • Sergey Bogachyov said a large coronal mass ejection is forming, though its trajectory has not yet been determined.
  • The active region sits away from the SunEarth line, which suggests ejected plasma would likely miss the planet unless expelled at unusually wide angles.
  • A 24‑hour outlook calls for episodic geomagnetic disturbances after a previously calm geomagnetic period and moderately elevated flare activity.
  • Potential effects include power system fluctuations, shortwave and GNSS disruptions, altered animal migration, and broader auroral visibility.