Overview

• Bloomberg reported that President Emmanuel Macron has consulted his inner circle about a potential second dissolution of the National Assembly, possibly in autumn 2025 or spring 2026.
• The Élysée formally denied these claims, reiterating that no decision has been made regarding a new dissolution of Parliament.
• Under the French Constitution, Macron can legally dissolve the National Assembly again starting in July 2025, one year after the previous dissolution.
• Macron’s first dissolution in June 2024 led to significant political instability, which he acknowledged in December 2024 as producing more challenges than stability.
• The report suggests Macron might consider timing new elections to leverage a rebound in his domestic popularity, bolstered by international developments like Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency.