Overview
- Surveys show neither the National-led coalition nor Labour holds majority support, setting up a tight contest for government.
- Coalition partners remain pivotal under MMP, with Christopher Luxon signaling openness to again work with ACT and New Zealand First.
- Economic conditions dominate the campaign as GDP has contracted in several recent quarters, unemployment sits near 5.3%, and living and housing costs remain high.
- National argues inflation is easing and confidence is improving, while Labour attacks the government’s record on affordability and public services.
- Voting law changes passed last year remove same‑day enrollment and bar prisoners from voting, which critics say could reduce participation and weigh on left‑leaning parties.