Overview
- The EU's top court in Luxembourg is set to rule on Spain’s 2017 amnesty and coverage reports it is expected to follow the EU advocate general in finding the law compatible with EU law.
- If Spanish courts apply the amnesty to Carles Puigdemont, he could return to Catalonia and regain decisive control of Junts, altering the party’s ability to vote for or against national budgets and major laws.
- Junts insists its break with the PSOE is final and says a favourable ruling would not be enough because Madrid has not delivered two other key promises: formal recognition of Catalan in EU institutions and the transfer of migration powers.
- New CEO polling shows a surge for Silvia Orriols’s Aliança Catalana from two seats toward roughly 24, driven by anti-immigration and identity messaging that is reshaping Catalan political cleavages.
- Madrid is pressing major legislative packages on housing, dependency reform and budgets and views a favourable ruling as its last political lever, even as ongoing judicial probes and an electoral calendar raise additional instability.