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Luntz Warns GOP of 2026 Backlash if ACA Subsidies Lapse

Congress adjourned with no agreement on expiring marketplace tax credits.

Overview

  • On CNN, Republican pollster Frank Luntz said failure to fix expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies would make the 2026 midterms "very painful" for Republicans.
  • He warned a renewed government shutdown could follow, with most voters likely to blame President Trump’s party based on surveys he cited.
  • Luntz argued voters care most about affordability, saying millions struggle to pay for care and resent partisan finger‑pointing over Obamacare.
  • Since the November reopening after the prolonged shutdown, Congress has not reached a health‑care deal and has left town until 2026 with subsidies set to lapse for millions.
  • Democrats previously secured only a promise for a vote on the tax credits before the end of 2026, leaving the fate of the subsidies unresolved heading into the new year.