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Lululemon Plunges After Second 2026 Guidance Cut

The downgrade hands incoming CEO Heidi O’Neill a decisive turnaround task, exposing falling traffic, weak leggings demand, China reputation damage

Overview

  • Lululemon, which cut its full-year guidance on Sept. 3, warned that revenue will fall again in Q3 and the stock dropped about 17–18% to a 52‑week low below $100.
  • The company reported weak fiscal Q2 results with roughly $2.4 billion in revenue and comparable sales down about 9–10%, and it trimmed full‑year revenue and EPS guidance to $10.35 billion–$10.5 billion and $9.48–$9.73 respectively.
  • Management blamed falling store and online traffic, uneven response to recent product launches, and a roughly 20% decline in women's leggings sales for the shortfall while forecasting a 10%–11% revenue decline in Q3.
  • Lululemon retains financial flexibility with nearly $1.4 billion in cash, no debt, and about $330 million of buybacks in Q2 even as hedge fund ownership fell and short interest rose, leaving options for funding a turnaround or returning capital.
  • Public responses are split: activist-style buying by investor Michael Burry contrasts with sharp public criticism from Jim Cramer, and the company enters a critical leadership change as Heidi O’Neill prepares to start and must rebuild product momentum, China trust and market share against rivals like Alo, Vuori and Fabletics.