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2h ago

Lula's Approval Edges Ahead in July Poll

A new survey shows gains among independent voters tied to debt-relief, income-tax exemptions plus the 6x1 labor debate, with Senate approval needed for lasting impact.

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Nova rodada da Quaest aponta melhora na avaliação do terceiro mandato de Lula na comparação com levantamentos anteriores.

Overview

  • The Quaest poll released Wednesday shows government approval at 48% and disapproval at 47%, the first time approval has led since December 2024.
  • Quaest CEO Felipe Nunes credits the uptick to Desenrola 2.0 (a debt-renegotiation program), the expanded income-tax exemption up to R$5,000, and public debate over ending the 6x1 work scale.
  • Independent voters — about one-third of the electorate — swung sharply: approval rose from 32% to 45% while disapproval fell from 58% to 45%, changing the race dynamics in key swing segments.
  • Public awareness and short-term effects of Desenrola 2.0 are high: 66% know the program, 55% view it positively, 35% report higher income since its launch, and the share reporting many debts fell from 28% to 21%.
  • Despite the rebound, 51% say Lula does not deserve another term, the 6x1 change still requires Senate action, and the survey of 2,004 respondents has a ±2-point margin of error so the gains may depend on implementation and campaign developments.