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Lula’s Approval Drops as AtlasIntel Poll Records 53.8% Disapproval

Judicial disclosures tied to the ‘Master’ case have been linked to a recent fall in support that raises Lula’s electoral risk.

Overview

  • The AtlasIntel survey of 5,000 voters, registered at Brazil’s TSE, shows Lula’s job approval at 43.7% and disapproval at 53.8%, with a reported 95% confidence level and a ±1 percentage-point margin of error.
  • The poll finds 38.3% rate his performance as ‘very good’ or ‘good’ and 50.8% as ‘bad’ or ‘very bad’, while 52.5% say they would never vote for him, the highest rejection among named presidential contenders.
  • High-frequency tracking from O Antagonista’s Lulômetro recorded disapproval rising from about 38% in late August to 40% on September 9, a trend that preceded the AtlasIntel result.
  • Coverage links the decline to recent disclosures in the ‘Master’ case, including messages released after Justice Minister André Mendonça lifted secrecy, and to reports alleging influence-seeking by Lula’s son, Lulinha.
  • The drop narrows Lula’s cushion from earlier highs last year and signals growing electoral vulnerability by increasing the pool of voters who reject him outright and view his term negatively.