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Lula’s Approval Climbs to 50% in New Ipespe Poll as STF Image Improves and Chamber Reels

Analysts credit the uptick to Lula’s response to U.S. tariffs.

Overview

  • Pulso Brasil/Ipespe surveyed 2,500 people nationwide from Sept. 19–22 with a two‑point margin of error and released the results on Sept. 25.
  • Lula’s approval reached 50% versus 48% disapproval, a seven‑point gain since July, with advances noted among centrists and the middle class.
  • STF approval rose to 46% and disapproval fell to 44%, a shift associated with heightened visibility from the court’s Sept. 11 conviction of Jair Bolsonaro.
  • Public ratings for the Chamber of Deputies deteriorated to 18% approval and 70% disapproval, while the Senate stood at 26% approval and 59% disapproval after recent legislative turbulence.
  • The poll predates the Sept. 21 protests against the PEC da Blindagem and Lula’s Sept. 23 UN address, so those events are not reflected in these findings.