Overview
- Fresh polling shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff and narrowly leading São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas.
- Jair Bolsonaro, imprisoned and barred from office for a coup attempt, reaffirmed from the hospital that Flávio is his chosen successor in a letter read by the senator.
- Key centrist power brokers signal preference for Tarcísio de Freitas or other non-Bolsonaro governors, with Gilberto Kassab publicly casting doubt on a Bolsonaro family candidacy.
- President Donald Trump lifted sanctions on Justice Alexandre de Moraes and rolled back many tariffs on Brazilian goods, a shift reported as unpopular in Brazil that has politically benefited Lula.
- Lula’s standing has improved alongside fiscal restraint, high interest rates under central bank chief Gabriel Galípolo, targeted subsidies, and a Senate-approved income tax cut affecting about 16 million Brazilians.