Overview
- Paraná Pesquisas reports 47.9% approval and 49.2% disapproval for Lula’s government, a technical tie given the ±2.2 percentage-point margin of error with 2.9% undecided.
- The survey interviewed 2,020 voters nationwide from Oct. 21–24, showing approval up 5 points and disapproval down 4.4 since August, narrowing a gap that was wider in June.
- Overall job performance remains net negative, with 41.1% rating the administration as poor or very poor and 35.3% as good or excellent, while 22.3% call it regular.
- Religious breakdowns show 50.5% approval among Catholics versus 47.1% disapproval, 37.1% approval among evangelicals versus 59.4% disapproval, and stronger support among other religions at 57.6% approval and 39% disapproval.
- Gazeta do Povo highlights 61.4% approval in the Northeast and notes persistent regional patterns, and CartaCapital says Paraná did not explain the shift as other polls attribute gains to Lula’s response to U.S. tariffs under Donald Trump and to proposed tax relief up to R$5,000.