Lula Approval Rebounds to 50% in Ipespe Poll as STF Gains and Congress Sinks

Overview

• Pulso Brasil/Ipespe finds 50% approval and 48% disapproval for Lula, a seven‑point approval gain since July, based on 2,500 interviews from Sept. 19–22 with a ±2 pp margin of error.
• STF approval rises to 46% with disapproval at 44%, a move attributed to heightened attention on the Jan. 8 'trama golpista' trial after Jair Bolsonaro was sentenced on Sept. 11.
• Legislative ratings remain deeply negative, with the Chamber at 18% approval and 70% disapproval and the Senate at 26% and 59%, as the August motim and the PEC da Blindagem debate weighed on perceptions.
• Perception of government coverage improved to 38% positive versus 35% negative, and approval of Lula’s stance on U.S. tariffs edged up to 53% in September in the same Ipespe series.
• Results mask sharp divides, with strong ideological polarization and regional contrasts such as Paraná Pesquisas showing 61.7% disapproval of Lula in Acre.