Overview

• Research cited in multiple reports projects around £84 billion in sales over Allwyn’s 10‑year licence, far below the £152 billion pledged in its bid.
• Treasury receipts are now projected near £10 billion versus Allwyn’s £18.2 billion claim, with lottery duty set at 12 pence per pound and receipts back to roughly 2019 levels.
• Allwyn says it remains on track to double weekly contributions to good causes to £60 million by 2034 and notes its income is tied to returns for good causes under the new licence.
• Company data show £1.8 billion was delivered to good causes in the inaugural year, with long‑run receipts indicated around £21 billion compared with the £38 billion pledge.
• Political and legal pressure is building as peers question the Gambling Commission’s oversight, Richard Desmond’s £1.3 billion High Court claim proceeds, and the Treasury awaits the OBR forecast for the 26 November Budget.