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Long COVID Rates Range From 15% to 42% Depending on Definition

Disparate symptom criteria with varying duration thresholds undermine diagnostic accuracy across studies

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We Still Don’t Fully Know What Long COVID Actually Is – And That’s A Problem
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Overview

  • Researchers applied five published long COVID definitions from the U.S., U.K., Netherlands, Sweden and Puerto Rico to data from about 4,700 patients in the CDC-funded INSPIRE cohort.
  • Prevalence estimates varied from 15% to 42% across the same cohort, suggesting that definitional differences may account for up to one-third of variation between published studies.
  • The five definitions differed in required symptom duration—from four weeks to six months—and in the number of symptoms considered, ranging from nine to 44.
  • All existing definitions showed only moderate sensitivity and imperfect specificity compared with participant self-reports, underscoring the absence of an objective diagnostic test.
  • Study authors urge adoption of a streamlined, parsimonious research definition or clearer transparency about definition choice to improve study comparability and patient care.