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London Home to Majority of UK’s Estimated Illegal Migrant Population

New analysis highlights the challenges of estimating undocumented populations and raises concerns about outdated data and policy gaps.

  • Studies estimate there are between 800,000 and 1.2 million undocumented migrants in the UK, with London hosting around 60% of this population.
  • A 2020 Greater London Authority report estimated 397,000 undocumented migrants in London, while a more recent Thames Water study suggests the number could be as high as 585,000.
  • The majority of undocumented migrants are believed to have entered the UK legally but overstayed visas, with visitor, student, and work visas being the most common categories.
  • Experts caution that all estimates of irregular migrant populations are highly uncertain due to limited data and methodological challenges, with no official government estimates since 2005.
  • Critics argue that the lack of reliable data complicates public service planning and enforcement, while debates continue over policy solutions such as deportations and potential amnesties.
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