Overview
- Lithuanian military intelligence warned this week that Russia may be considering attacks on Baltic critical infrastructure using captured Ukrainian drones to make strikes look like they came from Ukraine.
- Defence Minister Robertas Kaunas described the scenario as a possible "false‑flag" operation but said there is no confirmed target, date, or immediate danger.
- Vilnius has already strengthened protection at specific sites, including the Klaipėda LNG terminal, the LitPol Link substation in Alytus and the Kruonis pumped‑storage plant.
- The intelligence remains classified and has not been publicly verified, and the Kremlin has dismissed the warnings as scare stories; Lithuanian officials say NATO partners have been alerted and are monitoring closely.
- The warning follows months of stray or misdirected drone incidents in the region and intelligence reports of increased GRU sabotage activity, raising the risk that any attack could be misattributed and pressure NATO support for Ukraine.