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Lions at Packers Week 1: Books Favor Green Bay as Picks and Models Lean Detroit

Betting analysis points to value on Detroit despite Green Bay’s slight edge on the spread.

Overview

  • BetMGM lists Green Bay as a 1.5-point favorite with the Packers at -125 on the moneyline, the Lions at +105, and a total of 49.5 points.
  • ESPN’s model gives Detroit a 51.9% win probability versus 47.7% for Green Bay, with the remainder accounting for a tie.
  • USA TODAY’s panel mostly backed the Lions against the spread at +2.5, though one pick sided with the Packers at home.
  • Green Bay’s newly acquired pass rusher Micah Parsons is slated for his debut but may be limited by a back issue, while Detroit expects Aidan Hutchinson back.
  • Kickoff is Sept. 7 at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field, airing on CBS with streaming available via FUBO.