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Life’s Essential 8 Trajectories in Young Adulthood Predict Later Cardiovascular Disease Risk

The analysis shows change over time matters more than a single snapshot for predicting cardiovascular outcomes.

Overview

  • In a JAMA Network Open analysis of 4,241 CARDIA participants followed from ages 18–30, unfavorable or declining heart‑health patterns were linked to higher rates of later cardiovascular disease.
  • Researchers identified four 20‑year Life’s Essential 8 trajectories with escalating risk versus the persistently high group: persistently moderate (aHR 2.15), moderate declining (aHR 5.25), and moderate‑to‑low declining (aHR 9.96).
  • Every 10‑point drop in the 0–100 Life’s Essential 8 score between years 0 and 20 corresponded to a 53% increase in subsequent cardiovascular disease risk.
  • A secondary analysis found stable high cardiovascular health was associated with lower risk than stable moderate (aHR 0.25), while stable low conferred markedly higher risk (aHR 5.91).
  • Outcomes were a composite of myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, coronary revascularization, or cardiovascular death after year 20, reinforcing calls for early‑adult interventions to maintain or improve Life’s Essential 8 scores.