Overview

• Professor Markus Ogorek evaluated 829 statements cited by the Verfassungsschutz and found 574 to be potentially relevant for a party-ban application, including remarks on “Remigration” and hostile rhetoric toward minorities.
• Ogorek concludes the intelligence file offers a substantial factual foundation for preparation, though a successful ban would still require the Constitutional Court’s stricter assessment.
• The Federal Administrative Court’s newly published reasoning affirms the AfD’s extremist ‘Verdachtsfall’ classification and finds no indication that key evidence came from state informants.
• Political positions diverge: Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt previously judged the dossier insufficient, while the SPD backs a Bund–Länder working group to start building a case.
• Litigation over the higher ‘gesichert rechtsextremistisch’ designation continues at the Administrative Court in Cologne, but Ogorek says preparatory work on a ban filing can proceed during these proceedings.