Legal Election Betting Surges with Billions Wagered on Trump-Harris Race
A recent court ruling has spurred a boom in political betting, raising questions about its impact on democracy.
- Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have seen a surge in activity following a federal court ruling allowing election betting.
- Over $2 billion in cryptocurrency has been wagered on the 2024 presidential election, with significant bets placed on Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
- While some argue these markets provide a more accurate reflection of election outcomes, critics worry about potential manipulation and influence on democracy.
- The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is appealing the court decision, maintaining that election betting is contrary to public interest.
- Betting markets have gained attention in tech and finance circles, with prominent figures like Elon Musk endorsing their predictive accuracy over traditional polls.