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Left-Wing Attacks Outpace Far Right in First Half of 2025, CSIS Finds

The White House responded with an antifa terror designation despite CSIS warnings about misuse of the data.

Overview

  • CSIS analyzed 750 U.S. attacks and plots from 1994 through July 4, 2025, coding incidents by ideological category.
  • Through midyear 2025, the study counted at least five left-wing attacks or plots and one right-wing attack, the murder of Minnesota state legislator Melissa Hortman and her husband.
  • Over the past decade, left-wing violence caused 13 deaths compared with 112 from far-right attacks and 82 from jihadists, underscoring differences in lethality.
  • Lead author Daniel Byman said a decline in right-wing incidents this year may reflect alignment between far-right grievances and President Trump's policies.
  • The dataset does not include the Sept. 10 assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, and the administration has also pledged investigations into progressive funding after the antifa designation.