Overview
- Les Républicains and the UDI said they will not join the new cabinet, leaving Lecornu dependent on the presidential camp and MoDem as Horizons withholds its decision.
- Opposition parties threaten immediate censure, while the Socialist Party sets conditions that include dropping 49.3, pledging purchasing-power measures, and suspending the pension reform.
- Government lawyers say the prime minister can present the budget without a fully formed cabinet, but Macron’s planned trip to Egypt could complicate holding a Monday cabinet meeting.
- The public-finance watchdog HCFP will deliver its opinion Monday, with reporting that it deems the government’s 2025 deficit target of 5.4% of GDP credible.
- Lecornu’s draft forecasts a deficit near 4.7% of GDP in 2026 on a path to 3% by 2029, and missing the timetable could force ordinances or a special law to authorize 2026 tax collection.