Overview

• Sébastien Lecornu said on October 3 he will not use Article 49.3 to pass the budget and argued there is no pretext to censure the government before debates start next week.
• La France insoumise plans to file a motion of censure as soon as the new government is named, rejecting the move as insufficient.
• The Socialist Party welcomed a procedural shift but is pressing for a parliamentary vote on the 2023 pensions reform and further assurances on fiscal choices.
• Marine Le Pen called the decision more respectful of democracy but said the RN will decide after Lecornu’s general policy address, seeking clear policy rupture.
• Analysts warn the budget could be reshaped by hostile amendments or reopen the pensions battle, even as the executive can still filter amendments via Articles 40 and 44, rely on the Senate, and in a prolonged stalemate potentially resort to special procedures.