Overview
- Project88 published an August 2024 Ministry of Defense assessment titled “The 2nd US Invasion Plan,” which portrays the United States as a potential aggressor and details preparations for unconventional conflict.
- The document warns of U.S. backing for a “colour revolution” and outlines scenarios exploiting Vietnam’s long coastline, even as it notes there is currently little risk of war.
- Vietnam elevated relations with Washington to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership in 2023, yet the leaked analysis argues U.S. policies seek to impose values and constrain Hanoi.
- Project88 says it independently verified the document; the U.S. State Department declined to comment on it directly and reaffirmed the partnership’s benefits for regional stability.
- Analysts say the paper underscores internal tensions within the Communist Party, with military-aligned conservatives prioritizing regime security as Vietnam manages ties with both the U.S. and China.