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Leaked Rosstat Files Indicate 393,000–450,100 Russian War Deaths

Authentication of the files would raise official casualty estimates and could prompt new pressure on Russia’s recruitment and political leaders.

Overview

  • Hackers said they breached Rosstat in late October to early November and extracted roughly 23 terabytes of internal data that include death records and demographic files.
  • Analyses of the material published this week place war-linked Russian deaths between about 393,000 and 450,100 because different counting rules produce different totals.
  • News outlets that reviewed samples found file metadata consistent with a genuine Rosstat export but could not cryptographically verify the full dataset and Rosstat says it found no confirmed database compromise.
  • The records show many non-combat and delayed-registered fatalities and a heavy toll in poorer, remote and ethnically diverse regions such as Buryatia, Tuva and Zabaykalsky Krai compared with Moscow and St. Petersburg.
  • Journalists and independent trackers are continuing verification work as analysts say authenticated figures could reshape public understanding of the war, affect mobilization policy and increase political pressure inside Russia.