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Leaked Intelligence Says US Strikes Only Delayed Iran’s Nuclear Program

The Pentagon assessment that suggests the strikes only delayed Iran’s nuclear program by months has provoked a White House rebuttal, highlighting challenges facing diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation.

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This satellite image shows the Fordow nuclear facility in Iran on June 24, 2025. The image shows new damage to the facility caused by June 23 strikes, including craters along the access roads that lead to the tunnel entrances and the Fordow underground complex. Multiple craters are visible at several of the tunnel openings and several buildings along the northeastern perimeter road have been destroyed. An additional crater is seen in the middle of the access road to the northwest of the facility.
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President Donald Trump speaks as he meets with Netherlands' Prime Minister Dick Schoof on the sidelines of a NATO summit in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, June 25, 2025. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Overview

  • A preliminary Defense Intelligence Agency report leaked June 24 concluded that June 21 airstrikes on Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan sealed facility entrances and delayed Iran’s nuclear progress by only a few months without collapsing underground structures.
  • The assessment revealed that Iran transferred much of its 60% enriched uranium stockpile to undisclosed sites ahead of the strikes, complicating damage evaluation.
  • President Trump and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt rejected the leaked findings as “flat-out wrong,” insisting that US forces had “completely destroyed” the nuclear facilities.
  • CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Israeli military officials affirmed that the strikes inflicted significant damage, with some estimates suggesting a multi-year setback.
  • A fragile ceasefire holds as US, Israeli and international diplomats work to resume IAEA inspections and negotiate long-term limits on Iran’s nuclear program.